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The PICM Risk Prediction Study - Application of AI to Pacing

NCT06449079 — Not yet recruiting, 10000 participants, Guy's and St Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust

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Predictive Risk Algorithm for Development of Right Ventricular Pacing Induced Cardiomyopathy - a Step Towards Personalized Pacemaker Lead Deployment

RegistryNCT06449079
StatusNot yet recruiting
Study typeObservational
Enrollment10000 (Estimated)
SponsorGuy's and St Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust (Other); collaborators: Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, King's College Hospital NHS Trust
ConditionsHeart Failure, Pacemaker-Induced Cardiomyopathy, Pacemaker Complication
InterventionsMachine learning (Other)
Datesstart 2024-07-30 (estimated), primary completion 2026-10-30 (estimated), completion 2026-10-30 (estimated), first posted 2024-06-07, last updated 2024-06-07
Locations3 sites in United Kingdom

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-Summary

Development of pacing induced cardiomyopathy (PICM) is correlated to a high morbidity as signified by an increase in heart failure admissions and mortality. At present a lack of data leads to a failure to identify patients who are at risk of PICM and would benefit from pre-selection to physiological pacing. In the light of the foregoing, there is an urgent need for novel non-invasive detection techniques which would aid risk stratification, offer a better understanding of the prevalence and incidence of PICM in individuals with pacing devices and the contribution of additional risk factors.

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+Detailed description

Retrospective review of patient characteristics including 12 lead resting electrocardiograms and imaging data (CMR, CT, echo, CXR and fluoroscopy of pacing leads) of patients with right sided ventricular pacing lead due to symptomatic bradycardia, who developed pacing induced cardiomyopathy (or need for CRT upgrade) versus patients who did not using supervised machine learning methods. Development of personalised predictive pacing algorithm to improve right ventricular lead placement, such as conduction system pacing or pre-emptive implantation of an additional left ventricular lead to prevent left ventricular dilatation and pacemaker-induced cardiomyopathy (PICM) with heart failure (left ventricular ejection fraction <50% by Simpson method), hospitalisation or death with the use of the retrospective patient data through machine learning.

+Arms and interventions

ArmTypeInterventionsDescription
Pacing induced cardiomyopathyOther: Machine learningPatients who received a pacing device and developed pacing induced cardiomyopathy
Non-pacing induced cardiomyopathyOther: Machine learningPatients who received a pacing device and did not develop pacing induced cardiomyopathy
  • Machine learning (Other): Analysis of data with machine learning methods

+Outcome measures

Primary outcomes

  • Primary aim [2.5 years]: Number of risk factors in participants who developed pacing induced cardiomyopathy

Secondary outcomes

  • Secondary aim [2.5 years]: 1\. To establish, through the GSTT/RBH/KCH/ICH RV-paced study population the prevalence of pacemaker induced cardiomyopathy (PICM)
  • Tertiary aim [2.5 years]: 2\. To establish, through the GSTT/RBH/KCH/ICH RV-paced study population the incidence of PCIM 2. To establish, through the GSTT/RBH/KCH/ICH RV-paced study population the incidence of PCIM
  • Quarternary aim [2.5 years]: 3.• To establish mortality of PICM
  • Quinary aim [2.5 years]: 4\. To establish the morbidity of PICM
  • Senary aims [2.5 years]: 5.• To include predictive value for pacing induced cardiomyopathy risk with combination of imaging data of right ventricular lead position or leadless pacemaker position
  • Septenary aim [2.5 years]: 6.• To include predictive value for pacing induced cardiomyopathy risk with combination of imaging data of myocardial pathology from echocardiogram and cardiac MRI

+Eligibility

Sex: All, ages: 18 Years to any

Inclusion Criteria:

* All patients who received a pacing device (VVI, DDD, ICD, leadless pacemaker) from the GSTT/RBH/KCH/ICH database in the last 10 years (from 01/01/2014)
* All patients who are >18 years old.
* Male and Female

Exclusion Criteria:

* Patients who did not receive a pacing device (VVI, DDD, ICD, leadless pacemaker)
* All patients <18 years old
* Patients with congenital heart disease
* Patients who have received artificial heart valves or underwent cardiac bypass surgery
* Patients who did not have an echocardiogram after receiving a pacing device

+Locations (3)

FacilityCityCountryStatus
Guys' and St Thomas' Hospital NHS TrustLondonUnited Kingdom
Kings' College London Healthcare TrustLondonUnited Kingdom
Imperial College London Healthcare TrustLondonUnited Kingdom

My Notes