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Trading and Market Microstructure Papers of the Week

The 10 most important new Trading and Market Microstructure papers of the past week, ranked by potential impact. A new issue comes out every Monday, covering the previous Monday-to-Sunday week.

Nov 2 - 8, 2026 · Updated · Category: Trading and Market Microstructure (arXiv q-fin.TR)

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  2. 2
    From Trading Frictions to Corporate Value: The Financial Resilience Channel in Saudi Listed Firms

    Using a balanced panel of 124 non-financial firms listed on the Saudi Exchange over 2015–2025, the study introduces corporate financial resilience as a proposed channel linking trading frictions to corporate value and examines whether financial leverage moderates the trading-frictions–resilience association.

  3. 3
    AIDA: An AI Outage Registry with Evidence from On-Chain MEV

    We introduce the AI Incident and Disruption Archive (AIDA), a multi-vendor registry of 5,868 deduplicated outage incidents across 30 providers from 2025 to 2026, with foundation-model incidents verified against primary status-page or postmortem URLs.

  4. 4
    Beyond Anonymous Order Flow: Wallet Identity As A Feature for Short-Horizon Return Prediction

    We reconstruct full-depth books from consensus-ordered messages and evaluate wallet identity as a feature for short-horizon return prediction.

  5. 5
    Global Decentralized Stock Exchange: An Innovative Permissioned-blockchain Framework for Integrated Capital Markets

    Purpose This paper aims to propose a regulatory-aware conceptual and theoretical framework for a global decentralized stock exchange built on a permissioned blockchain infrastructure.

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  1. 6
    Hard to Fool: A Bounded LLM Research Loop for Quantitative Finance, and What Two Dozen Campaigns Found

    Agentic research loops that let a language model propose a change, run a fixed experiment and keep whatever improves the metric work well in machine learning.

  2. 7
    Reading The Count: Prediction Markets and Brazil's 2026 Presidential Election

    We rebuild the public count of Brazil's 2026 presidential runoff minute by minute from the electoral court's section-level records and compare it with every trade on Kalshi and Polymarket.

  3. 8
    Learning AI Agents, Market Makers, and Stress in Automated Markets

    Automated markets increasingly route order flow from learning trading agents through automated market makers (AMMs). We model trader archetypes as AI agents defined by their reward functions and analyze the feedback they create on a constant-product AMM.

  4. 9
  5. 10
    Price-Volume Correlations Are Always Zero

    We argue that the use of the empirical time series of values, volumes, and prices of consecutive trades made during the averaging interval to calculate the price-volume correlation in a way that follows the definition of correlation always gives zero correlation.